May 2010 Archives

Another set of fairly good predictions (and a great night for Dems/progressives):

PA-12: I had Critz by +2, he won by 8. Major props to the Critz campaign and the DCCC -- that was an impressive margin.
KY-SEN GOP: I had Paul at 55%; he ended up with 59% of the vote. I hope this puts KY in play for the Dems; we'll find out soon enough.
KY-SEN Dem: I had Conway by 3, he won by only 1 percentage point. I hope that's his margin in the general :)
AR-SEN Dem: Lincoln by +2; nailed it, though I underestimated the third candidate's support. Should be an interesting runoff.
PA-SEN Dem: I had inside knowledge of this one; my private prediction was only off by one point on Sestak's percentage.

Here are my predictions for the races I can comment on:

PA-12: Critz 50 - Burns 48 - Agoris 2
KY-SEN GOP: Paul 55 - Grayson 39 - Others 6
KY-SEN DEM: Conway 49 - Mongiardo 46 - Others 5
AR-SEN DEM: Lincoln 48 - Halter 46 - Others 6

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