The Generals Studying Game
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ID
: 1393
Author(s)
:
Kramer
Year
:
1971
Title
:
Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896-1964
Main Point
:
Finds that economic fluctuations are important influences on congressional elections, with economic upturn helping the congressional candidates of the president's party, and economic decline benefiting the opposition. The most important economic variable is real personal income. He finds that presidential elections are much less responsive to economic conditions. Thinks this responsiveness is good for Democracy.
Connections
:
Mutz (1992) and Kinder/Kiewiet (1981) finds sociotropic (rather than egotropic) voting. Achen/Bartels (200?) say the econ is random, so not good for Dem.
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